Over the past 12 months, our benchmark, the Russell 1000 Value Index, is up +29.5% as of November 30, 2024. If this year-over-year gain holds, it may be the best year for the Russell 1000 Value in over a decade. What is interesting to us is that the return thus far in 2024 has been concentrated in the largest holdings in the index. The chart above shows that the largest stocks in the index, whether one looks at the top five or top ten largest companies by market capitalization, have generated the largest contribution to return for the index since 2016.
We think it is interesting what the CEOs of some of these large companies have been saying and doing with their own stock. For example, the CEO of JP Morgan, Jamie Dimon, stated at their Investor Day in May that he is not going to buy back a lot of stock at the current price. Another top market capitalization company in the Russell 1000 Value is Berkshire Hathaway. In the second chart on this page, we show the trend in Berkshire’s share repurchase program where reductions in outstanding shares have stopped this year after a steady reduction since the end of the last decade.
Where do we stand in terms of overall valuation for the index where these top companies reside? We know that valuations can continue to rise over time, but higher valuations can reduce the margin of safety for an investment. In the chart on the next page, we provide some context for current valuations. We have chosen the price-to-book ratio given our two examples could be considered financials.
We remain observant regarding current valuations. Within our strategies, we employ an eye toward valuation as one of our four investment pillars. A focus on valuation has demonstrated to be additive to long-term returns, according to Ned Davis Research, and typically enhances downside capture by protecting capital.
As always, thank you for your interest and trust managing your investments.
About the Author
Charles Wittmann, CFA®, Executive Director, joined SCM in 2014 and has investment experience since 1995. Chip is Co-Portfolio Manager of the Equity Income strategy. Prior to joining SCM, he worked for Thompson Siegel & Walmsley as a portfolio manager and (generalist) analyst. Prior to TS&W, he was a founding portfolio manager and analyst with Shockoe Capital, an equity long/short hedge fund. Chip received his B.A. in Economics from Davidson College and his M.B.A. from Duke University's Fuqua School of Business. He holds the Chartered Financial Analyst® designation and served as President of CFA Society Virginia from 2012-2013.
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