In Paris, the U.S. men’s gymnastics team won their first Olympic medal in sixteen years, combining their performances across six different pieces of equipment. Working through multiple stages, the team merged their scores into one final result. In the same way, we manage client portfolios in the pursuit of producing results that position clients on the podium. We believe the best way to perform is to employ techniques and processes that have demonstrated value through different stages and could succeed in the end. To do so, we believe that clients should understand how our processes work and how they perform in the short and long term, depending on the investing environment.
Low quality and risk performed well in the first half of 2024, as measured by the two charts on this page. The top chart shows the year-to-date return of stocks based on their return on equity, earnings quality, and debt levels. The second chart shows how the riskiest, or highest beta stocks, have outperformed year-to-date.
What could cause low quality, high beta stocks to perform so well in the short term? As a result of more tepid inflation data supporting a potential reduction in the federal funds rate, we believe the market began anticipating that lower rates may aid companies that need stress relief from the higher interest payments placed on their businesses.
Evidence of this stress can be seen in the chart above, which shows how companies in the S&P 500® Index began reducing the growth rate of dividends they pay their shareholders as cash flows become more difficult to generate.
We’d note that those same high-quality stocks that have underperformed their lower-quality counterparts year-to- date have outperformed the S&P 500 over the past three, five, and ten years, according to S&P Global
(S&P 500® Quality Index as of June 30, 2024). We believe quality companies that increase rather than decrease their dividends and signal their financial strength through short- and long-term environments may be a formula for client success.
As always, thank you for your interest and trust managing your investments.
About the Author
Charles J. Wittmann, CFA®, Executive Director, joined Sterling Capital Management in 2014 and has investment experience since 1995. Chip is co-portfolio manager of the Equity Income strategy. Prior to joining Sterling, he worked for Thompson Siegel & Walmsley as a portfolio manager and (generalist) analyst. Prior to TS&W, he was a founding portfolio manager and analyst with Shockoe Capital, an equity long/short hedge fund. Chip received his B.A. in Economics from Davidson College and his M.B.A. from Duke University's Fuqua School of Business. Chip earned the Certificate in ESG Investing, which is developed, administered and awarded by the CFA Society of the United Kingdom. He holds the Chartered Financial Analyst® designation.
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